Based on a forecasted risk view over the coming 12 months
A forecasted risk view over the coming 12 months
The risk view for the 12 months
The number of incidents over the past 12 months
The number of incidents that occurred over the 12 months
The country risk scoring represents a forecasted risk view over the coming 12 months. The scores are set by IHS Markit country risk analysts based on their expert understanding of the security and political environment, using information from open sources and structured intelligence gathered by a network of thousands of in-country personnel.
Risk is scored on a 0.1-10 scale. The scale is logarithmic, with intervals of 0.1 magnitude. This range is split into seven bands, ranging from Low to Extreme risk:
Low: 0.1 - 0.7, Moderate: 0.8 - 1.5, Elevated: 1.6 - 2.3, High: 2.4 - 3.1, Very high: 3.2 - 4.3, Severe: 4.4 - 6.4, Extreme: 6.5 - 10
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Overall – A combination of all of the perils Political, Civil Unrest, Terrorism and War.
Political – Risk scores that most affect the political environment including government instability, policy instability and state failure.
Civil Unrest – Defines the likelihood that protests, riots or strikes will cause significant damage to assets, disrupt business operations or injure people.
Terrorism – The risk that the activities of any non-state armed group or individual will cause (or are likely to cause) property damage and/or death/injury through violence.
War – The risk that the country will be subject to use of force by another state or intra-state military conflict.